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Joe Biden takes the narrowest lead in Wisconsin

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first_imgNote, there is a roughly 10,000-vote gain in Kenosha that isn’t reflected in these numbers. ThWisconsin’s Democratic Party Chair tweeted this several hours ago:xAbsentee ballots are still being tallied in Milwaukee, Kenosha, and other cities. Based on everything we’ve seen, those ballots will decisively favor Biden. Green Bay hasn’t reported *any* results yet. When all votes are counted, we’re confident that Joe Biden will win Wisconsin.— Ben Wikler (@benwikler) November 4, 2020- Advertisement – xI’ve been talking about this for days, weeks, months: the *scope* of the shift between mail-in & Election Day ballots is unlike the stuff you’re used to seeing on Election Nights. We just saw it in Kenosha, maybe momentarily in Milwaukee, & also makes MI & PA tricky to assess. https://t.co/DYp5oTd4YX— Taniel (@Taniel) November 4, 2020- Advertisement – Milwaukee is mostly in. Kenosha will be +9,600 votes. Green Bay will add to Biden’s margin, since 32,000 absentee ballots remain uncounted. Update: This is the Kenosha results, which weirdly haven’t been posted by the AP. Maybe because it’s 2 am PT. xBREAKING: after all three machines tabulated 19,700- Biden 10,103-Trump The absentee ballots in Kenosha are not enough to take over the county for Biden. Final results should be on the county website soon— Cassidy Williams (@CassidyWtv) November 4, 2020- Advertisement – This isn’t over. But things are looking up. center_img And what we’ve seen here, we’ll see in Michigan and Pennsylvania as well xBased on my replies, I don’t think people have fully internalized how Democratic these mail and absentee ballots will be in MI/PA/WI. It’s going to be close, but these ballots will be overwhelmingly Democratic— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 4, 2020 – Advertisement –last_img read more

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California Needs to Rethink Urban Fire Risk

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first_imgWhat is missing from these maps, however, is extreme weather patterns. The Santa Ana winds of Southern California are a notable example. Strong, hot, and dry wind episodes are associated with nearly all of our largest and most destructive wildfires, including the 1964 Hanley fire in Northern California that burned an almost identical footprint to the Tubbs fire, yet relatively little is currently known about how often they occur across a landscape.New methods are becoming available for mapping and modeling winds, and future versions of the Fire Hazard Severity Zone maps will therefore include such weather conditions. Similar maps are also needed for fire-prone areas outside California.Despite technical advances, a key problem with most mapped approaches to fire danger is that the focus is almost exclusively on characterizing the hazard — flame lengths, rates of spread or fire intensities of an oncoming wildfire — and much less on the vulnerabilities of what is actually exposed. The “wildland-urban interface,” where developed lands are exposed to natural, flammable areas, is thus often mapped and assumed to be where the exposure ends.Clearly this is not always the case. Analogous to when a levee fails, after a wildfire manages to ignite homes along the wildland-urban interface, many homes farther inside the neighborhood can quickly become exposed.Depending on the building codes in place during their construction, these newly exposed structures may or may not be very fire-resistant. Their vulnerability to ignition can also be especially high if they are spaced closely together and the winds are strong, because that is when fire spread transitions to a structure-to-structure domino effect.Better fire risk mapping means we should be able refine our notion and approach to assessing vulnerability.Reducing human exposureThere are numerous reports of how difficult and deadly it was to evacuate during the Tubbs fire. Apparently many people had almost no warning at all. This highlights the importance of both evacuation planning and evacuation communication systems, as getting out in time is what Americans tend to rely on in wildfire situations.Although evacuation preparedness is nearly always mentioned in Community Wildfire Protection Plans and standard guidance for homeowners, the overriding message is typically to “leave early” whenever possible.While absolutely correct, this advice minimizes the importance of pre-fire evacuation planning and the short time there may be to get out. It takes quite a bit of thought and effort to anticipate being in such a crisis situation!What should one take, and where might one actually go?On short notice, how does one account for pets, children, or the elderly?Is there a place one should retreat to, if evacuation orders are received too late or not at all?This last question may be the one that gets the least attention, and the many fatalities in the Tubbs fire suggest that it requires much deeper consideration. Firefighters are often given specific training about what to do with limited evacuation options. For homeowners, however, guidance can be sparse.When it is too late and too dangerous to evacuate safely, fallback options must be considered and communicated ahead of time. In an urban conflagration situation, local details dictate whether “safety zones” actually exist as places to take refuge. Given the real potential for such disasters, many communities should consider identifying (or building) key “hardened” structures to act as local-scale refuges.Reducing human exposure involves more attention to what people must do during a wildfire, or even the rare urban conflagration. Safe evacuation deserves as much emphasis as reduction of fuels, such as creating defensible space around homes or larger scale fuel breaks by thinning vegetation around communities.A safer built environmentFrom the scale of individual home construction up to the location and arrangement of development on a landscape, our communities should be better able to survive the natural hazards that occur there. This requires both short- and long-term strategies for achieving a safer built environment.As a starting point, we must acknowledge that we currently have tens of thousands — possibly even hundreds of thousands — of homes constructed according to building codes that leave these structures vulnerable to ignition. Amazingly, however, there are very few examples of grant programs to mitigate such vulnerabilities through retrofit programs to, for instance, replace wood shake shingle roofs or to upgrade attic and crawlspace vents to block embers from entering homes.In contrast, there are millions of dollars in public funds spent annually on community-scale fuel reduction projects. These are common activities pursued by Fire Safe Councils in California and similar organizations in other states.The recent Tubbs fire in northern California was the most catastrophic in the state’s history and underscores the need to update policy and planning to minimize risk in the future.The same level of support should be available for mitigation of fire-related structure vulnerabilities as there is for hazards.Over the long term, land use planning is probably the most effective tool available for creating safer communities. We must be more deliberate about how we develop on fire-prone landscapes, taking advantage of emerging hazard-mapping techniques.The goal here is not necessarily to build fewer homes, but to design and site developments that avoid the highest hazard regions and concentrate development in the lowest hazard areas. This logic applies, to varying degrees, to constraining development with respect to other natural hazards.Despite an aversion by some to land use planning, this strategy is simply common sense. It will also save lives and massive amounts of public resources over the long term.Where we do choose to develop and inhabit hazard-prone environments, it may be necessary to design communities with “passive survivability” in mind, or the ability to withstand the event and have water and power for a few days. This provides both the built environment and the people within some basic protection for a limited time.Strategies exist to lower the risk of fire in the current housing stock and to more carefully design and site future development where wildfires are possible. With increasing extremes expected as climate continues to change, officially recognizing this link and creating a safer built environment will only become more urgent.Max Mortiz is a Cooperative Extension specialist in wildfire at the University of California at Santa Barbara. This post originally appeared at The Conversation. By MAX MORITZWe recently witnessed the wind-driven Tubbs fire blast its way through densely urbanized neighborhoods in northern California, causing dozens of fatalities and thousands of home losses. This tragic event easily ranks as the most catastrophic fire in modern California history. Stories of how fast the fire spread and how little time people had to evacuate are stunning.Despite how unusual the devastation appears, we need to recognize that these structure-to-structure “urban conflagrations” have happened in the past and will happen again. Yet these fires revealed that we have key gaps in our policy and planning related to assessing risk in fire-prone environments.What is increasingly clear to fire researchers like me is that losses on the human side are often driven by where and how we build our communities. This means we must learn to coexist with fire, if we are going to inhabit fire-prone landscapes, just as we adapt to other natural hazards. An essential step is to shift our perspective from a focus on hazard to one that more comprehensively includes human vulnerabilities.Mapping riskCalifornia is leading the way in mapping the danger that wildfires pose to human communities and, in particular, linking building codes to fire severities that may be expected in given location. The state’s Fire Hazard Severity Zone maps are an essential step in recognizing fire as an inevitable process that must be accommodated, similar to how we plan for floods, landslides, earthquakes, and hurricanes. Q&A: Fire-Resistant Rainscreen SystemResilient Communities Designing Homes and Communities That Can Survive a DisasterResilient Design: Dramatically Better Building Envelopes Designing Houses and Communities To Be Smarter and More ResilientResilience: Designing Homes for More Intense StormsMaking the Case for Resilient DesignBuilding Resilience for a ‘Close Encounter’ with DisasterGreen Building Priority #9 – Create Resilient Housescenter_img RELATED ARTICLESlast_img read more

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Video Editing Quick Tip: Stack Timelines in Premiere Pro

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first_imgKnowing how to stack timelines in Premiere Pro can really expedite your video editing workflow. Here’s how it’s done.Top image via ShutterstockPremiere Pro provides the ability to stack (aka “pancake“) timelines on top of each other. This simplifies the act of moving sequences and clips back and forth in a seamless “drag and drop” and benefits you by stopping interruptions to the flow of your edit.Below, Dylan Osborn provides an excellent walkthrough of the steps needed to stack timelines in Premiere Pro. The tutorial also dives into how you can edit clips from one sequence to another instead of copying and pasting. (After the video, we’ll go through the process step-by-step.) 1. Drag Edited SequenceTo begin, drag the edited sequence you wish to pull from over to your source monitor. 2. Open in TimelineClick on the Source Monitors Settings and hit Open Sequence in Timeline. This will open the sequence and move your Project Timeline over.3. Drag and DropFinally,  simply click and hold on the Source Monitor tab and drag/drop it on top of your project timeline! Voilà!Have multiple timelines helped you in the past? Share your experiences in the comments below!last_img read more

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Geje Eustaquio’s climb back to top begins vs rising South Korean

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first_imgHontiveros presses for security audit of national power grid Panelo: Duterte ‘angry’ with SEA Games hosting hassles DA eyes importing ‘galunggong’ anew Old timer Rafi Reavis has no plans of slowing down: ‘I have a lot left’ Private companies step in to help SEA Games hosting LATEST STORIES ONE: Geje Eustaquio, Adriano Moraes looking for convincing finish to trilogy PLAY LIST 01:27ONE: Geje Eustaquio, Adriano Moraes looking for convincing finish to trilogy00:50Trending Articles01:22Learning doesn’t stop for Geje Eustaquio—inside and outside ONE cage02:42PH underwater hockey team aims to make waves in SEA Games01:44Philippines marks anniversary of massacre with calls for justice01:19Fire erupts in Barangay Tatalon in Quezon City01:07Trump talks impeachment while meeting NCAA athletes02:49World-class track facilities installed at NCC for SEA Games02:11Trump awards medals to Jon Voight, Alison Krauss Philippine Arena Interchange inaugurated Photo by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netMANILA, Philippines—Geje Eustaquio begins treading the trail back to the top of the flyweight division in ONE: Enter the Dragon on May 17 at Singapore Indoor Stadium in Singapore.Eustaquio is on the road to redemption after losing the world title to Brazilian rival Adriano Moraes in their third fight three months ago.ADVERTISEMENT View comments Cayetano: Senate, Drilon to be blamed for SEA Games mess Standing in Eustaquio’s way is South Korea’s Kim Kyu Sung, who is making his promotional debut as part of the loaded fight card.“We don’t know much about our upcoming opponent as he’ll be making his debut, but we know that he’s tall and lanky, so we’ll have to prepare for that,” Eustaquio said.“I can’t wait to bounce back and start over again. Rest assured, you’ll see the best version of me in Singapore.”FEATURED STORIESSPORTSPrivate companies step in to help SEA Games hostingSPORTSPalace wants Cayetano’s PHISGOC Foundation probed over corruption chargesSPORTSSingapore latest to raise issue on SEA Games food, logisticsThe 30-year-old Team Lakay veteran doesn’t have a good grasp about his opponent but one thing is certain: Sung can fight.Sung owns a 9-2 record with seven of his wins coming by stoppage. Duterte wants probe of SEA Games mess MOST READ “I wish to get back in the winning column and pave a new path to World Title contention,” he said. “I’m in a new era now, which simply means it’s all or nothing.”“The most important thing is to not leave it in the judges’ hands this time,” he said. “So expect me to go all out.”Sports Related Videospowered by AdSparcRead Next Don’t miss out on the latest news and information. SEA Games hosting troubles anger Dutertelast_img read more

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Can’t play Pakistan till they stop cross-border terrorism: Sourav Ganguly

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first_imgFormer India captain Sourav Ganguly echoed BCCI chief Anurag Thakur’s views on India-Pakistan cricket, saying there is no point in considering resumption of ties till Pakistan stops cross-border terrorism in India. Ganguly, who led Cricket Association in Bengal in welcoming and hosting the Pakistan team in Kolkata’s Eden Gardens during the World T-20 games earlier this year, told Aaj Tak: “This has happened earlier also when cricket between the two countries was cancelled. And when all this keeps happening at the border it is not just difficult but also not right to have cricket between the two. We all want India-Pakistan to play cricket but if they want to play then they (Pakistan) have to stop all this cross-border terrorism.” (Also read: Pakistan sponsor of terrorism, no question of playing cricket with them: Anurag Thakur) Ganguly supported Thakur’s statement, who had said earlier in the day that till Pakistan stops supporting terrorism in India, the BCCI can’t even think of any resumption in ties: “I know where Anurag is coming from. How can you have cricket in the backdrop of all this,” he said. Ganguly incidentally led India on the famous victorious 2004 tour to Pakistan where India won both the ODIs and Tests series. (Also read: Terrorism an issue: Sourav Ganguly backs BCCI’s decision to not play cricket with Pakistan) Another former India player and two-time MP Chetan Chauhan went a step forward and said, “why only cricket, India should stop all contact with Pakistan till it stops harbouring terrorists – be it sports, films or anything else.”advertisementlast_img read more

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CAF Improves Clearance of Goods

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first_imgCommissioner of Customs, Major Richard Reece, says the clearance of goods has been significantly improved, since implementation of the Customs Administration Fee (CAF) on April 1. Responding to questions on the issue on Wednesday, May 15, at the weekly Jamaica House press briefing, Major Reece said a joint release will be issued on Thursday, May 16, based on dialogue with brokers associations, and Fiscal Services, regarding challenges with the information systems. “We still have challenges with enclosures, which relates to part shipments…We expect that to be rectified shortly, but we have administrative systems in place to address that,” he told journalists. Commissioner Reece noted that since the CAF took effect, the discussions with a number of sectors; the decision to reduce rates on raw materials for manufacturers; and the adjustment in fees for June 1, had resulted in further changes to Customs’ information system modules. This, he said, had impacted the time frame for smoothing out the kinks in the system. “We expect that by the end of the month (May), those issues will be resolved,” he said. In February, Finance and Planning Minister, Dr. the Hon. Peter Phillips, announced the application of a Customs Administration Fee on all imports, except for charitable organisations and the bauxite sector. The levy is expected to yield $1.2 billion in revenue.Contact: Alphea Saunderslast_img read more

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